January 30, 2026


Senate Impasse Over Shutdown Deal as Graham Digs In and House GOP Faces Trump Pressure

A looming government shutdown is now a breath away, scheduled to occur in just 16 hours, as the Senate grapples with an unexpected hurdle posed by Senator Lindsey Graham. Meanwhile, the House Republicans are under heavy pressure from President Donald Trump to push through any legislation forwarded from the Senate.

The predicament began when Trump and the Democrats reached what appeared to be a viable compromise late Thursday. The agreement included passing five of the full-year appropriations bills along with a two-week Homeland Security stopgap. This measure was intended as a buffer, allowing time for discussions about new policies on immigration enforcement following the tragic shooting of Alex Pretti in Minneapolis.

However, Senator Graham threw a wrench into the works by opposing a House-endorsed provision that would eliminate a controversial law. This law currently allows senators, including Graham himself, to receive cash payouts if their phone records are seized, a provision introduced under the tenure of former special counsel Jack Smith.

Senate Majority Leader John Thune expressed optimism despite the setback, hopeful that a resolution could be achieved by Friday. "Tomorrow’s another day, and hopefully people will be in a spirit to try and get this done," Thune remarked as he left the Capitol Thursday night.

On the House side, assuming the Senate manages to resolve its issues and passes the funding package, House GOP leaders have scheduled a vote for Monday. However, President Trump, eager to avoid any shutdown, may urge Speaker Mike Johnson to reconvene the House sooner.

A series of internal GOP discussions are slated for Friday, as leaders attempt to rally support for the legislation. Yet, challenges loom large with hard-liners within the party staunchly opposed to separating Homeland Security funding from the broader package and reluctant to compromise with Democrats on restricting Trump’s immigration policies.

Additionally, Representative Anna Paulina Luna (R-Fla.) is pushing for an amendment that would incorporate the SAVE AMERICA Act into the appropriations package, which mandates proof of citizenship for voter registration. This move could potentially send the legislation back to the Senate, further delaying resolution and extending the shutdown.

The DHS stopgap itself is another hot potato, with just a two-week window to negotiate complex issues. Graham is pushing to include his bill to terminate sanctuary cities in the revised DHS measure, an addition that could complicate negotiations further.

Amidst these unfolding events, a special election runoff in Texas this Saturday will further narrow Speaker Johnson's margin in the House, intensifying the pressure on him to manage his slim majority effectively. The outcome of this election could significantly impact the dynamics as next week's crucial votes approach.

As the clock ticks down, the possibility of a government shutdown looms larger, with potential consequences that could ripple across multiple federal agencies and affect numerous government services.