March 3, 2026

On January 6, 2021, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton rallied a crowd of Donald Trump supporters with a promise to continue battling. Now, five years later, that battle has him potentially replacing John Cornyn, a 24-year Senate incumbent.
Paxton has been a beacon for the far right, championing their causes through a barrage of lawsuits aimed at reshaping Texas’ political landscape. His legal battles have targeted everything from school religious activities to the 2020 election results. This staunch opposition to the Obama and Biden administrations, with over 100 lawsuits filed, has solidified his position as a conservative crusader, especially on issues like immigration and environmental regulations.
As the GOP primary approaches, Paxton, despite his numerous scandals including impeachment and a federal investigation, remains the frontrunner. His resilience is credited to the strong grassroots MAGA support, which sees him not just as a political figure, but as a symbol of their movement's heart.
Steve Bannon, a former Trump adviser, encapsulated this sentiment, describing Paxton as a resilient fighter whose long-standing battles have endeared him to the MAGA base. This support seems unshaken despite heavy attacks and substantial political baggage.
Cornyn faces a tough primary, with MAGA supporters rallying behind Paxton. The senator's past actions, like supporting gun control measures post-Uvalde shooting, have alienated the most radical primary voters. His acknowledgment of this shift suggests a recognition of the changing dynamics within the Texas GOP.
Democrats and some national Republicans believe Paxton's contentious history might make him vulnerable in a general election. However, his supporters see his past legal troubles as a testament to his dedication to conservative causes, further aligning him with Trump, who himself has weathered numerous controversies.
Paxton’s rise is underpinned by significant financial backing from Texas megadonors and a base that prefers his aggressive approach to the more traditional, establishment tactics of figures like Cornyn. This shift underscores a broader movement within Texas politics from mainstream Republicanism to a more pronounced, far-right ideology.
As the primary unfolds, it is clear that the MAGA versus establishment battle within the GOP is not just about individual candidates but the future direction of the party in Texas and possibly beyond. Paxton's journey from attorney general to a Senate hopeful demonstrates the increasing influence of the MAGA movement, setting the stage for a pivotal showdown in Texas politics.