November 10, 2026

ALBANY, New York — Democrats who hoped to redraw New York’s congressional districts before 2028 face a changed political landscape after Tuesday’s blue wave delivered a massive House majority without additional help from a new state map.
The party had targeted New York as part of a national redistricting fight sparked by President Donald Trump’s successful push for new maps in Republican-led states. A Democratic-friendly map could have helped flip four New York seats, but Cait Conley’s defeat of Rep. Mike Lawler secured one of them under the existing lines. Elsewhere, Republican gerrymanders backfired as Democrats surged.
Assemblymember Charles Lavine, who sponsors legislation permitting mid-decade redistricting, said the proposal remains a “strong possibility” for discussion, though he could not predict his conference’s position.
Rep. Joe Morelle, a liaison between House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries and state Democrats, said he would continue to advocate for changes. He argued that partisan maps elsewhere had left New York at a disadvantage.
New Jersey Gov. Mickie Sherrill has abandoned a similar mid-decade effort. In New York, lawmakers approved a constitutional amendment this spring and must pass it again in 2027 before voters can decide the question next November.
That campaign could cost more than $100 million and energize Republican voters ahead of local elections. Assemblymember-elect Marc Molinaro, a Republican, said opposition could mobilize both Republicans and “common-sense Democrats.” He also pointed to GOP losses in districts drawn to favor his party.
New York’s potential gains come with similar risks. Upstate, Democrats could dilute the strong margins of Reps. Tim Kennedy, Paul Tonko and Morelle to make a Republican-held seat more competitive, but that could leave currently safe Democrats vulnerable in a future Republican wave.
On Long Island, Democrats won 56.7% and 55.2% in two districts and fell just short in two others, leaving room to reshape the map but no guarantee of another pickup.
A longstanding Democratic target remains Rep. Nicole Malliotakis’ Staten Island seat, which she won with 56%. Nearby Brooklyn and Manhattan districts voted overwhelmingly Democratic, offering potential material for a redraw.
Lavine said he personally supports moving ahead but would defer to his colleagues. “I am only a legislator and not a ruler,” he said.